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A general prediction of Hurricane Season in 2008

A general prediction of 2008 Hurricane Season has been issued recently by the National Hurricane Center. 1st June, 2008 has been set at the date for the start of the hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin. Coastal regions of Atlantic Basin in the USA have been warned through news forecasts to be prepared for the hurricanes. Since 1953 National Hurricane Center has been issuing the comprehensive list of annual hurricanes that are predicted to hit the Pacific coats, Atlantic Coasts, Indian Ocean coasts and the coasts of Australia.

List of 2008 hurricanes to hit the Atlantic Basin in the USA is given below:
  • Arthur
  • Bertha
  • Cristobal
  • Dolly
  • Edouard
  • Fay
  • Gustav
  • Hanna
  • Ike
  • Josephine
  • Kyle
  • Laura
  • Marco
  • Nana
  • Omar
  • Paloma
  • Rene
  • Sally
  • Teddy
  • Vicky
  • Wilfred

Why is it important to predict annual hurricanes?

Hurricanes are great forces of nature that can bring devastating effects on human and animal life. Parts of the world that are hurricane-prone are always curious to know about the seasonality, frequency and intensity of probable hurricanes that might occur. Prediction of annual hurricanes is necessary to increase the awareness of people. Such predictions are also useful to take necessary actions to combat the ravages caused by hurricanes. Coastal towns need the information to plan and prepare for hurricanes. It is intrinsic to their survival.

Methodology involved in 2008 Hurricanes Prediction

It is important to note that hurricanes cannot be predicted with 100% accuracy. However, advanced technologies now help geographers and climatologists to predict with precision. The methods involved are based on comparisons and study of previous years’ occurrences. The National Hurricane Center of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) claims to be able to track all hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin right at the stage of formation of depression.

For the prediction of 2008 hurricanes in the Atlantic coast of the USA, a statistical technique has been prepared that is based on the hurricanes that occurred in these region in the past 58 years (between 1950 and 2007). From its study, National Hurricane Center has come to the conclusion that the 2008 hurricane season will be more intense than the seasons between 1950 and 2000. The list of hurricanes also includes the estimates of hurricane days and storm days. The figures are stated below:
  • 21 hurricanes
  • 4 intense hurricanes (belonging to category 3, 4 and 5)
  • 80 named storm days
  • 40 hurricane days


2008 Hurricane Names

The list of hurricanes issued by NOAA will be again updated on 7th August, 2008. Middle of August onwards is considered by climatologists as the peak season for the occurrences and intensity of hurricanes. The first of the hurricanes, Arthur, is expected to reach an initial wind speed of 39 mph. More intense tropical storms gain speed of 111 mph.

Apart from the Atlantic basin, the hurricanes that will hit the Eastern North Pacific coast are as follows:
  • Alma
  • Boris
  • Cristina
  • Douglas
  • Elida
  • Fausto
  • Genevieve
  • Hernan
  • Iselle
  • Julio
  • Karina
  • Lowell
  • Marie
  • Norbert
  • Odile
  • Polo
  • Rachel
  • Simon
  • Trudy
  • Vance
  • Winnie
  • Xavier
  • Yolanda
  • Zeke

A general prediction of hurricane season 2008 is of high importance to the government and people. It helps everyone affected by hurricanes to be prepared for all kinds of calamity caused by hurricanes. Management of emergency during hurricanes can save life and property. NOAA is coordinating with 70 other countries hit by hurricanes to develop more advanced tools for predicting hurricanes.




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